THE 1990S SAW A REVOLUTION IN THE POLITICAL STRUCTURE OF INDIA. THE DECADE ENDED THE CONCEPT OF SINGLE-PARTY GOVERNANCE AND INTRODUCED THE MULTI-PARTY ALLIANCE GOVERNANCE IN THE COUNTRY. NOW I AM TALKING OF MULTIPARTY GOVERNANCE BECAUSE THE 2014 ELECTIONS ARE A TARGET FOR THE STATE PARTIES IN THE COUNTRY AND ALMOST ALL THE STATE PARTIES ARE EYEING FOR THE PRIME MINISTER POST............................. EHH..., I DONT NO HOW TO EXPRESS IT BUT I DONT THINK ITS FAIR WHEN PARTIES WHICH WILL END WITH JUST 30 ODD SEATS DREAM OF ELECTING A PM FROM THEIR PARTY WHEN THE HALF WAY MARK IS AS ENORMOUS AS 272 CONSTITUENCIES!!!!!!... NOW LETS CHECK OUT SOME OF THESE BIG DREAMERS!!
I AM FROM THE SOUTHERN TAIL OF INDIA FROM A CITY WHOSE HEART IS PURIFIED BY THE FLOW OF THE HISTORIC NOYYAL RIVER AND HENCE THE FIRST IN MY LIST OF AMBITIOUS STATE PLAYERS IS OBVIOUSLY AIADMK .,AND YES TO THE READERS FROM MY STATE AM EXTREMELY UNBIASED ..I MENTION AIADMK AHEAD OF DMK ONLY BECAUSE THE DMK IS YET TO FIELD A PRIME MINISTRIAL CANDIDATE ., WHILE THE ADMK ON THE OTHER HAND HAS ALREADY STARTED ITS ELECTION CAMPAIGN WITH A SLOGAN "40UM NAMADHE". THE DECEMBER PROJECTION POLLS OF TIMES REPORTED ADMK TO GET AROUND 28 SEATS .,THE SAME WAS ESTIMATED IN INDIA TODAY'S JANUARY PROJECTION ., NOW THE QUESTION IS HOW CAN A PARTY WITH MERE 28 SEATS THAT TOO FROM JUST ONE REGION OF THE COUNTRY MANAGE TO GET THE P.M TICKET., WELL THE PARTY HAS PLANNED TO ALIGN WITH THE LEFT PARTIES ., LIKE THE PREVIOUS POLLS AND BECAUSE THE LEFT LEAD 3RD FRONT DOESNT HAVE A KEY PLAYER LIKE THE BJP ,CONGRESS OR AAM ADMI[I DONT THINK THEY DESERVE A MENTION STILL MEDIA BACKING CAN HELP] SO IF THEY SECURE A MAJORITY THE P.M TICKET IS OBVIOUSLY GOING TO GO TO THE PARTY WITH THE HIGHEST NUMBER., WELL STILL 28 DOESNT SEEM TO BE A GOOD NUMBER, ADMK HAS TO BE AWARE OF THE FACT THAT SP AND BSP FROM THE U.P ONE OR BOTH OF THESE U.P PARTIES ARE GOING TO ALIGN WITH THE 3RD FRONT HENCE THESE PARTIES HAVE A CUTTING EDGE OVER THE OTHERS BECAUSE THEY ARE GOING TO CONTEST FROM 80 SEATS WHILE THE STATE OF TAMIL NADU WHERE THE ADMK PRESIDES HAS ONLY 39 CONSTITUENCIES IN TOTAL., BUT STILL THE INDIA TODAY PROJECTIONS SHOW ONLY 20 0DD SEATS FOR THE SAMAJWADI AND BAHUJAN SAMAJ AT U.P BRINGING A SIGH OF RELIEF TO THE TAMIL NADU ASPIRANT
THE CHALLENGE FOR TAMIL NADU'S AMMA TO GO NATIONAL DOESN'T END WITH THE U.P GIANTS., THEY ARE EQUALLY THREATENED BY THE SPLIT OF NITISH'S JDU FROM THE BJP LEAD NDA.. JDU HAS 40 SEATS TO DOMINATE IN BIHAR WHICH IS UNDER THEIR REIGN ., BUT TO THEIR DISMAY THE POLL PROJECTIONS OF INDIA TODAY JAN2014 HAS SHOWN THAT THE JDU IS LIKELY TO END UP WITH JUST 6 SEATS IN BIHAR.THE TALLY CAN SHIFT IN THE 3 -4 MONTHS TO COME....AND THE 4 WAY COMPETITION IN BIHAR MAY AID NITISH ., BUT I STILL CANT FIND A REASON FOR IT. AND JDU HAS A NATIONAL PRESENCE WITH POCKETS IN MAHARASHTRA, GUJRATH, HARYANA , JHARKAND ETC., WHICH CAN COME IN HANDY AS THE 3RD FRONT P.M WILL BE DECIDED BY A MARGINAL NUMBER BUT JDU LL NEVER BE A FACTOR IF THEY END UP THE WAY THE PROJECTION POLL PREDICTS THEM TO.,
THE LEFTIES HAVE A BETTER POLL AHEAD BECAUSE THE ANTI-INCUMBENCY FACTOR IS BUILDING IN KERALA AND WEST BENGAL WHICH TOGETHER CAN PROVIDE A TOTAL OF 60 ODD SEATS TO THE LEFT., ITS ESTIMATED THAT THE LEFTS END WITH 30 ODD SEATS BUT IT IS LESS LIKELY THAT THEY GET A CHANCE TO PROJECT A PRIME MINISTER BECAUSE .,WELL THEIR ALLIES WILL NEVER LET THEM DO THAT!!BUT THE MR.SIMPLE MANIK SARKAR OF TRIPURA CAN BE AS HANDY AS NAMO OF BJP FOR THE LEFTS., BUT EGO ISSUES IN THE PARTY AND LACK OF BACKING FROM THE COALITION HAS PREVENTED THE COMMUNISTS FROM ANNOUNCING A P.M CANDIDATE
THE MAMTA FACTOR CAN ALLY WITH THE LEFT ONLY ON ONE CONDITION THAT IS THE PRIME MINISTER TICKET..WITH AN ESTIMATE OF 25 ODD SEATS DIDI MIGHT GET ACHANCE TO BE THE KINGMAKER OF 2014., AND IT IS MOST LIKELY TO BE LEFT TO HER TO PICK BETWEEN A STABLE GOVERNMENT WITH POWER SHARING STRATEGY UNDER THE BJP OR A P.M SEATS FROM HER DIRECT FOE THE CPM.... THE TRINAMOOL IS DEFINITELY A BIG PLAYER ., BUT
WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND WATCH TO CHECK THEIR APPROACH AFTER MAY2014
BIJU JANATHA DAL MAY BAG UPTO 16 SEATS IN ODISHA BUT THE ONLY WAY NAVIN PATNAIK CAN BECOME A P.M IS THE QUARREL AMONG THE BIGGER PLAYERS LANDING INTO A 3RD NEUTRAL ., WILL THE WIND OF LUCK FLOW TOWARDS BJD??? ...LETS WAIT AND WATCH THE WIT!
CHANDRA BABU NAIDU'S TDP IS IN CHAOS BUT IF IT MANAGES 20+ ., THATS IMPOSSIBLE FOR NOW., BUT IF IT DOES THEN HE TO CAN WISH FOR THE MOST PRESTIGIOUS PROFESSION IN INDIA
jayalalitha-c.m of tamil nadu |
mamta banarjee - c.m of west bengal |
nitish kumar- c.m bihar |
mayawati-bsp |
mulayam singh yadav-sp |
manik sarkar-c.m tripura- considered as the most modest c.m of india |
THE MAMTA FACTOR CAN ALLY WITH THE LEFT ONLY ON ONE CONDITION THAT IS THE PRIME MINISTER TICKET..WITH AN ESTIMATE OF 25 ODD SEATS DIDI MIGHT GET ACHANCE TO BE THE KINGMAKER OF 2014., AND IT IS MOST LIKELY TO BE LEFT TO HER TO PICK BETWEEN A STABLE GOVERNMENT WITH POWER SHARING STRATEGY UNDER THE BJP OR A P.M SEATS FROM HER DIRECT FOE THE CPM.... THE TRINAMOOL IS DEFINITELY A BIG PLAYER ., BUT
navin patnaik -c.m of odisha |
BIJU JANATHA DAL MAY BAG UPTO 16 SEATS IN ODISHA BUT THE ONLY WAY NAVIN PATNAIK CAN BECOME A P.M IS THE QUARREL AMONG THE BIGGER PLAYERS LANDING INTO A 3RD NEUTRAL ., WILL THE WIND OF LUCK FLOW TOWARDS BJD??? ...LETS WAIT AND WATCH THE WIT!
CHANDRA BABU NAIDU'S TDP IS IN CHAOS BUT IF IT MANAGES 20+ ., THATS IMPOSSIBLE FOR NOW., BUT IF IT DOES THEN HE TO CAN WISH FOR THE MOST PRESTIGIOUS PROFESSION IN INDIA
narendra modi-c.m gujarath- considered to be india most effective c.m - bjp's pm candidate |